Should Fiorina not make the next debate because of her poll numbers, it may be all but over
St. Petersburg, FL
Carly Fiorina, who I supported – see Disclosures below; seems to
be fading fast in the polls.
David Graham has an interesting analysis in the Atlantic What
Happened to Carly Fiorina?
Key in Graham's analysis is the fact the Republican women don't
really seem to be all that excited about a female president. Graham also makes
a good point regarding Fiorina's jump in the polls following each of the
debates only to be followed by a slow decline in voter interest.
The media, at least some of them, like Carly because she is good
political material. She creates good sound bites, but the comment regarding a
Planned Parenthood video that never existed seems to have hurt her.
Fiorina's biggest problem continues to be the same as the other
Republican presidential hopefuls; she just can't get up stage of Trump and
Carson. To make things worse, as of this writing, she trails Jeb Bush.
Should Fiorina not make the next debate because of her poll numbers,
it may be all but over.
Look for someone like Fox News to give Fiorina a spotlight shot,
maybe on the Sunday Talk shows to help shore up the poll numbers.
There is an argument for hanging in there since Trump or Carson
or both could implode at any time. And there is also the Vice Presidency to
keep in mind.
I still like Fiorina, but unless one of the two front runners
really stumbles, Cary is destined to be riding in the lower tier of poll
numbers for some time. For now it may be a good strategy to just try and make
the debates and wait out the field.
It's a lot more fun to be duking it out with the big guys, but
for now trying to shore up some support among Republican women may make more sense.
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